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https://www.themarysue.com/the-needle-is-back/

The New York Times needle model.

If there’s anything that sums up the nightmare-level stress and ping-ponging emotions of 2016’s election night, it’s the New York Times’ needle. Even now, just thinking about that semi-circular chart with its prediction needle swinging wildly from red to blue every time some new precinct data was made available makes my chest contract and my jaw lock up. (The only thing worse is the memory of when the needle stopped bouncing.)

The needle will be back in 2020 but, luckily, with one big difference: There will be no national needle. Instead, there will be needles for only three states: Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina. These are three states that, according to the Times, have experience counting absentee ballots quickly, their polls close relatively early, and they report their results “in unmatched detail.”

As major battleground states, these three also offer a pretty solid idea of where the election as a whole is likely to end up, says the Times. Basically, if Biden wins even one of them, his chances of winning overall are really high. If Trump wins all three of them, it’s a toss-up.

That’s because this election will see a massive number of mail-in ballots that will dramatically change whatever results come in from in-person voters. (That’s also the reason why the New York Times isn’t subjecting us to a national needle–there’s just too much that’s going to change.)

And since the majority of people who have voted early either in person or by mail are expected to lean heavily toward Biden, that means that if he also wins any of these battleground states in terms of in-person day-of voting, it’s pretty much a lock in his favor. If Trump wins, those mail-in votes could still flip everything on its head.

Which is, of course, exactly why Trump and his supporters are working so hard to make sure those mail-in ballots aren’t counted.

(via New York Times, image: NYT)

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The Mary Sue has a strict comment policy that forbids, but is not limited to, personal insults toward anyone, hate speech, and trolling.—

November 3, 2020

The New York Times Is Retooling Their Dreaded Needle

https://www.themarysue.com/the-needle-is-back/

The New York Times needle model.

If there’s anything that sums up the nightmare-level stress and ping-ponging emotions of 2016’s election night, it’s the New York Times’ needle. Even now, just thinking about that semi-circular chart with its prediction needle swinging wildly from red to blue every time some new precinct data was made available makes my chest contract and my jaw lock up. (The only thing worse is the memory of when the needle stopped bouncing.)

The needle will be back in 2020 but, luckily, with one big difference: There will be no national needle. Instead, there will be needles for only three states: Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina. These are three states that, according to the Times, have experience counting absentee ballots quickly, their polls close relatively early, and they report their results “in unmatched detail.”

As major battleground states, these three also offer a pretty solid idea of where the election as a whole is likely to end up, says the Times. Basically, if Biden wins even one of them, his chances of winning overall are really high. If Trump wins all three of them, it’s a toss-up.

That’s because this election will see a massive number of mail-in ballots that will dramatically change whatever results come in from in-person voters. (That’s also the reason why the New York Times isn’t subjecting us to a national needle–there’s just too much that’s going to change.)

And since the majority of people who have voted early either in person or by mail are expected to lean heavily toward Biden, that means that if he also wins any of these battleground states in terms of in-person day-of voting, it’s pretty much a lock in his favor. If Trump wins, those mail-in votes could still flip everything on its head.

Which is, of course, exactly why Trump and his supporters are working so hard to make sure those mail-in ballots aren’t counted.

(via New York Times, image: NYT)

Want more stories like this? Become a subscriber and support the site!

The Mary Sue has a strict comment policy that forbids, but is not limited to, personal insults toward anyone, hate speech, and trolling.—


November 2, 2020

Week 7 Prediction Updates and Week 8 Picks!

http://www.thenerdelement.com/2020/10/31/week-7-prediction-updates-and-week-8-picks/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=week-7-prediction-updates-and-week-8-picks

So last week, I got some of my picks right and some of them wrong. For instance, I predicted that the Buccaneers would win 37-22 over the Raiders, but the actual score was 45-20 Bucs over the Raiders. I predicted that the Chiefs would beat the Broncos 44-21, but the actual score was 43-16 Chiefs over the Broncos. I was so close on that prediction!! I predicted that the Cardinals would win 27-22 over the Seahawks, but the final score was actually 37-34 Cardinals over the Seahawks in a shootout. Cardinals kicker Zane Gonzalez kicked a game winning field goal after he missed one earlier which gave the Seahawks a chance to go win it, but a penalty on Seattle gave the Cardinals a shot and they intercepted the Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson 3 times. That game has got to be the game of the year in my opinion!!! I predicted that the Rams would beat the Bears 19-13, but the actual score was 24-10 Rams over the Bears. I predicted that the Packers would definitely win over the Texans 41-23, but the actual score was 35-20 Packers over the Texans. And last, I predicted that the Patriots would win over the 49ers, but the actual score was not even close. The score was 33-6 49ers over the Patriots. So, I was completely wrong about the Patriots. I got 5 out of 6 picks correctly for week 7!!!!

Now let’s get into the week 8 picks, shall we?! The first game I will predict is the Rams @Dolphins game. I actually think the Dolphins can win over the Rams because number 1: They are coming off the bye week, and number 2: They feel like they can beat some good teams and be a sneaky playoff team. So, I say that the Dolphins would win 31-23 over the Rams. The next game I will predict is the Vikings @Packers game. I think the Packers will win over the Vikings 36-24. The Vikings are just not playing good right now even though they got their first win against the Texans. The next game I will predict is the Steelers @Ravens game. One of the greatest teams in the NFL right now! This should be a really good game and I expect this game to be a shootout. I am going to get an edge to the Ravens 39-31 over the Steelers. I think the Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson will do just enough and so would their defense. The next game I will predict is the 49ers @Seahawks game. Another great game to watch tomorrow. I possibly think the 49ers will win 26-19 over the Seahawks. The next game I will predict is the Cowboys @Eagles game on Sunday night football which nobody wants to see because the entire NFC East is so awful and somebody’s got to win the NFC East. I think the Eagles will come away with a win over the Cowboys 20-13. The last game I will predict is the Buccaneers @Giants game. I think the Bucs will win over the Giants 38-17 on Monday night football. It just won’t go well for the Giants as they continue to struggle on offense and defense which they lost defensive end Markus Golden to the Cardinals for a sixth-round pick.

So, what do you guys think of these week 8 NFL predictions?!

I would like to hear some comments, thoughts, or opinions down below!

Stay tuned for week 8 prediction updates!

The post Week 7 Prediction Updates and Week 8 Picks! appeared first on The Nerd Element.


November 2, 2020

More Disney Layoffs Keep on Coming and Other Updates

http://www.thenerdelement.com/2020/10/31/more-disney-layoffs-keep-on-coming-and-other-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=more-disney-layoffs-keep-on-coming-and-other-updates

Hi everyone! I have some interesting news that I want to share with you guys. At Walt Disney World, they have now laid-off 11, 350 Orlando-area employees. A total of central Florida workers was affected by the pandemic has reached 18,000 as the rest of the employees have reached 28,000. The layoffs will be effective December 31.

A “Frozen” star Josh Gad has donated following the laid-off Disney World workers.

A Disney World Tourist Marcia Temple who is 27 years old was arrested on October 8 for carrying a 9mm handgun that was loaded with 10 rounds and she blames her 6-year-old for hiding the weapon.

The new Star Wars Rise of the Resistance boarding group procedure announced starting on November 3, guests can book at 7:00AM from outside of Disney’s Hollywood Studios.

Some Disney World fans don’t want the Splash Mountain retheme to be Princess and the Frog because they want it to be a Black Panther ride just to honor Chadwick Boseman.

Over at Disneyland, they have recalled hundreds of furloughed workers as portion of California Adventure reopens. They have installed 23,000 coronavirus safety measures to prepare for reopening. The layoffs are set to hit Disneyland by tomorrow because the furloughed workers have struggled a lot.

I think that Disneyland should follow Knott’s Berry Farm’s lead and host food events for now because Knott’s Berry Farm is actually doing a really good job of keeping people safe by adding lots of hand sanitizing stations and putting social distancing markings on the ground everywhere.

All of this information came from the Disney news I look at.

So, what do you guys think about this Disney information?

I would like to hear some comments, thoughts, or opinions down below!

Stay tuned for Disney updates.

The post More Disney Layoffs Keep on Coming and Other Updates appeared first on The Nerd Element.


November 2, 2020

This Ghostly Stop-Motion Music Video is Eerily Delightful

https://nerdist.com/article/stop-motion-ghost-music-video-hallelujah-the-hills/

Halloween and stop motion go hand in hand in most of our minds, thanks to movies like The Nightmare Before Christmas and Mad Monster Party. Now, there’s a new stop-motion addition to your Halloween viewing list this year. Thanks to Boing Boing, we’ve discovered this delightfully quirky stop-motion music video from Boston’s indie rock darlings Hallelujah the Hills for their song “The Memory Tree.”

The whole music video was made in quarantine. It tells the story of a spooky lil’ ghost on an existential journey of self-discovery through the multiverse. You can watch the full video for “The Memory Tree” above.

Hallelujah the Hills’ singer Ryan Walsh spent several months making all these miniature handcrafted ghost puppets. As well as the teeny tiny ghost homes they inhabit. All in order to create a world for this little spook and his friends to live in. Or, as the case may be, to not live in. The attention to detail in the ghost house is pretty great, especially the Ouija board the ghosts use to contact the living. There is some live-action mixed in to the proceedings as well, towards the end of the video. Once the ghost seemingly makes it to our reality, he becomes a dude in a sheet.

This Ghostly Stop Motion Music Video is Eerily Delightful_1

AllThisPaperwork

The aesthetic of the video is that of an old silent film from the ‘20s.  The main narrative of the six-minute short is that of a ghost traveling through the many layers of reality, until he makes it out his world into the land of the living. The video is also eerily relevant. It starts with a title card that says “tired of more misfortune, he has not left the house in a full year.” In 2020, those words are all too relatable for most of us.

Featured Image: AllThisPaperwork

 

The post This Ghostly Stop-Motion Music Video is Eerily Delightful appeared first on Nerdist.


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